NUCLEAR
MYTHS AND POLITICAL REALITIES IN SOUTH ASIA
By
Anurag
Sinha
Introduction
Analyses
of South Asian nuclearism take two polar positions in explicating
the effects of nuclear weapons in the subcontinent. The first
argues that their advent has made for a more stable South
Asia, circumscribing armed conflicts and terminating major
wars by the logic of deterrence. The second claims that nuclear
proliferation has destabilized both Indo-Pakistani relations,
in particular, and South Asian security, in general, by encouraging
aggressive Pakistani military postures and massive conventional
build-ups on either side of the Line of Control. This paper
weighs the merits of either case by considering the turn to
nuclearism by India and Pakistan, followed by the ‘stability/instability’
debate.Detailed Paper
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ILLEGAL
IMMIGRATION: A CAUSE OF DEEP CONCERN IN INDIA-BANGLADESH BILATERAL
RELATIONS
By
Ms. Sayantani Sen Mazumdar
India
in its quest to stimulate its Look-East Policy has developed
cooperative ties with the South-East Asian as well as South
Asian nations and has subsequently undertaken multifarious
initiatives for this enterprising venture. In this significant
endeavour, India’s relation with the South Asian neighbour-
Bangladesh deserves special focus. History reveals instances
of both cooperation and differences between India and Bangladesh
and there was a time when their bilateral relations used to
revolve around manifold disparities. Though India made several
attempts to augment and stabilize its bilateral ties with
Bangladesh, the latter is blamed for not reciprocating in
the same manner rather it is alleged of indulging in hostile
activities threatening India's security and territorial integrity.
But the 2010 visit of Bangladesh Prime Minister, Sheikh Hasina
to India greatly altered the contours of bilateral relations
which may be expected to bear positive ramifications on the
future of bilateral ties. In order to bolster their mutual
bonding and assure the international community of each others
commitment towards mutual cooperation, both India and Bangladesh
need to accord a proactive direction to their thoughts and
endeavours.
Detailed
Paper
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AFGHANISTAN’S
NATIONAL SECURITY FORCES: THE TURBULENT PRESENT AND THE UNKNOWN
FUTURE
By
Dr.
Lopamudra Bandyopadhyay
Introduction
The
departure of the U.S. military forces from Afghanistan has
always been a controversial issue to reckon with. Their eventual
exit is subject to the restoration of Afghanistan's domestic
security forces to the point that they can effectively take
over the country's security. Very recently, in July 2010,
NATO nations agreed to support President Hamid Karzai's goal
of Afghanistan assuming the sole responsibility for its security
by 2014, although that particular goal appeared to be somewhat
elevated in nature. Key U.S. military leaders in Afghanistan,
such as former commanding army General David McKiernan, stated
that the transfer of security to indigenous forces is “years
away.” Further, the new commander of international forces
in the country, General David H. Petraeus, has discreetly
departed from any attempt to surrender provincial security
operations to the indigenous forces.
Detailed
Paper
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INDO
– BHUTANESE RELATIONS: A HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
By
Dr. Lopamudra Bandyopadhyay
Relations
between nations have often been observed to harbour dormant
political ambitions that are seldom made public. Incidents
of nascent political ambitions invisible to the astute diplomatic
eye is not a novel phenomenon. However, in the midst of such
difficult conditions caused by intricacies of realpolitik,
lie certain bilateral relations that are relatively free from
the skirmishes of egocentric domestic political aspirations.
The bilateral relations between India and Bhutan present a
scenario of contentment in which two neighbouring countries
coexist peacefully with political goals and democratic aspirations
in harmonious equilibrium. Although, quite often it has been
stated that India has played a game of one-upmanship with
Bhutan, the veracity of the matter lies in the fact that both
the countries have throughout the decades of mutual association
played roles that have been complimentary to each other. This
particular paper, which is in fact a segment of a series of
articles based on Indo-Bhutanese bilateral relations, wishes
to trace the historical antecedents of the same as well as
analyse the political implications of a mutual relation based
on the ideals of liberalism and democracy.
Detailed
Paper
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BHUTAN:
THE WIDENING FISSURES WITHIN A FLEDGLING DEMOCRACY
By
Dr.
Lopamudra Bandyopadhyay
Introduction
About a year back, the mountainous kingdom of Bhutan, hitherto
wrapped in the mists of enlightened isolationism woke up to
the filigreed beams of a sun enmeshed in the hues of a democratic
system of government. The democracy that was gifted to the
Shangri-la of the East was not one that had emerged through
a political culture steeped in the same, nor was it a result
of an avid euphoria generated by the populace. Rather, and
quite unlike other democracies, this particular one was more
of a gift of benevolence tendered by a monarchy that had been
revered for centuries by a population unsure of its future.
One year later, the democracy, far from being infallible,
has developed fissures of both political and economic in nature
that require the utmost consideration of the government, if
they wish to build a stable and prosperous Bhutan, which may
in the near future play a pivotal role in the arena of world
politics.
Detailed
Paper
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INDIA’S
ROLE IN SOUTH ASIA – PERCEIVED HEGEMONY OR RELUCTANT
LEADERSHIP?
By
Dr.
Madhavi Bhasin
"
The Indian elephant cannot transform itself into a mouse.
If South Asia is to get itself out of the crippling binds
of conflicts and cleavages, the six will have to accept the
bigness of the seventh. And the seventh, that is India, will
have to prove to the six that big can indeed be beautiful.”
- Bhabani Sen Gupta. Detailed
Paper
(Originally
published in Indian Foreign Affairs Journal, vol.3, No.4,
October-December, 2008.)
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DEMOCRATIC
DEFICIT IN BANGLADESH: A CAUSE FOR CONCERN
By
Ms.
Amrita Chowdhury
A
theoretical representation of an idea or a concept remains
unconsummated till it is married to the practical implementation
of the same, more so for a concept such as democracy. Democracy
in pen and paper can at best be a quasi- democracy if the
basic democratic principles continue to be violated. Certain
specifics have been laid down the attainment of which would
enable a nation or a country to be qualified as a democratic
state. Bangladesh is one such country which having imbibed
the democratic principles constitutionally, fails to bring
forth the same beyond pen and paper. Detailed
Paper
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INDIA’S
“LOOK WEST” – POST TALIBAN INDIA’S
ENGAGEMENT WITH AFGHANISTAN
By
Ms.
Shreya Ghosh
Historically
India and Afghanistan have shared very close political and
cultural ties. Contacts between Afghanistan and India date
back to 6 BC, since the inception of the Gandhara civilization.
Present day Afghanistan came into being after the Third Anglo-Afghan
War of 1919. Post India’s independence and partition,
India and Afghanistan have shared very close ties. In 1947,
Afghan king, Zahir Shah had opted for friendship with India
over Pakistan. Pakistan and Afghanistan then had extremely
troubled relations over border issues with regard to the Durand
line separating the two countries. Detailed
Paper
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SOUTH
ASIA AND THE FOURTH WAVE OF DEMOCRACY
By
Dr.
Madhavi Bhasin
The
Third Wave of Democracyi swept through South Asia accompanied
with apprehensions and anticipation about how democracy would
treat South Asia and how South Asia would treat democracy.
This exciting interaction led to helpful answers and new questions
regarding the prospects of democracy in the developing countries.
South Asia’s reactions to the third wave and consequent
developments can provide an insight into the design of the
distinctive democratic models emerging across the globe. The
third wave was characterized by five forms of regime change,
three of which have been witnessed in South Asia. Detailed
Paper
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AN
ANALYTICAL SURVEY OF THE AFTERMATH OF MUMBAI TERROR ATTACK
By
Ms.
Sayantani Sen Mazumdar
November 26, 2008 saw a horrific night that overwhelmed the
Mumbaikars’ impulse of fear Vis-a – Vis the entire
Indian nation that kept them on tenterhooks for next sixty
hours without respite. The memory of that catastrophic night
will remain deeply ingrained in the tragic history of Mumbai
as it was an act of terrorism by perpetrators in guise of
non-state actors who let loose a reign of terror and bathed
south Mumbai with human blood. It witnessed a series of heinous
activities in the city that drastically paralysed normal life
thereby bringing the spirit of the commercial and entertainment
hub of India to a standstill. India is not unfamiliar with
the dismal consequences of terrorist attacks but it is not
well-equipped with the adequate means to encounter it. The
recurrences of such horrifying activities that torment every
minute of a man’s life often raise doubts about the
efficacy of the administrative set-up of our country. The
manifold instances of such acts reveal the intensity of the
subdued grievances and brutality of those non-state actors
but fail to address to the valid causes that have driven them
to pursue such a barbaric course of action. Active cooperation
from each and every country is very much needed to combat
terrorism. The menace might not be wiped out overnight but
the magnitude can be reduced. Detailed
Paper
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THE
"BULLDOZER" COMES TO PAKISTAN
By
Dr.
Madhavi Bhasin
President
Barack Obama appointed Richard Holbrooke as a Special Representative
for Afghanistan and Pakistan and other related matters. Though
these ´other related matters´ have not been elaborated,
Kashmir and India-Pakistan relations conveniently fall into
the category. Hence the recent appointment should be of particular
interest to India. A backgrounder to Richard Holbrooke´s
prior diplomatic missions helps to comprehend the future course
of U.S. policy in the region.
Richard
Holbrooke was the chief architect of the Dayton Peace Accords
designed to resolve the ethnic crisis in former Yugoslavia.
His distinct style of diplomacy and negotiation emerged clearly
during the drafting and implementation of the Dayton accords.
In getting the warring leaders to the negotiating table Holbrooke
adopted an uncompromising and confrontationist style which
earned him the reputation of "the Bulldozer" or
sometimes "Raging Bull" in the region. In May 1995,
a major crisis emerged when 300 UN peacekeepers were held
hostage by the Bosnian Serbs. Holbrooke´s simple solution
to the complex diplomatic situation was: bomb the Bosnian
Serb leader Karadzic´s capital at Pale if the hostages
are not released within 48 hours. The day he initialized the
agreement at Dayton, Hoolbroke publicly stated there would
be many problems along the way and surprisingly most of the
problems encountered in implementing the Dayton Accords were
predicted by him. In an interview with Elizabeth Fransworth
in 1996, Holbrooke stated "You have to match your method
to the moment and your style to the substance and the situation."
As evident Holbrooke´s style is aggressive, pragmatic,
focused and inspired by a deep faith in America´s power
and responsibility. Holbrooke´s reputation and approach
to negotiations implies that Pakistan is likely to face his
creative and aggressive diplomatic style. His views with regard
to Pakistan are equally discerning.
Holbrooke
has referred to the ´arc of crisis´ distinct from
Former President Bush´s ´axis of evil´.
The arc of crisis includes Turkey, Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan,
and Pakistan. With regard to Afghanistan he has identified
four major problem areas - the tribal areas in Pakistan, the
drug lords who dominate the Afghan system, the national police,
and the incompetence and corruption of the Afghan government.
Zooming on the issue of the tribal areas in Pakistan, Holbrooke
has already presented a specialist´s perspective. According
to him vastly improved, better-equipped, better-trained and
better-paid Frontier Corps is urgently required to manage
the tribal areas of Pakistan. The Frontier Corps in its present
avatar is an ancient force, created by the British in the
19th century, with only 50,000 troops and faces a better-armed
Taliban and local rebel groups. He has categorically stated
that Washington has been sending mixed signals to Pakistan
which will be rectified under the Obama administration. His
message for Pakistan is clear: democracy, reconciliation,
the military out of politics, a new policy for the tribal
areas -- and more democracy. Interestingly, Holbrooke´s
rejection of labeling Pakistan as "the world´s
most dangerous place" highlights his sensitivities regarding
Pakistan´s challenges and the optimism of countering
the same.
It
appears that despite the aggressive rhetoric of Pakistan,
the Obama administration is preparing to "bulldoze"
the terrorist safe havens in tribal Pakistan.
(This
article also appeared in American Chronicle on 01/23/2009,
http://www.californiachronicle.com/articles/view/88694)